Kansas vs. Kansas State odds, line: College basketball picks, predictions from model on 16-8 roll

Big 12 positioning and bragging rights well be on the line when the Kansas State Wildcats (21-6, 11-3) visit the Kansas Jayhawks (20-7, 9-5) at 9 p.m. ET on Monday. The Jayhawks are in third place in the Big 12, two games behind the Wildcats. Oddsmakers, however, give the Jayhawks a 3.5-point edge in the Kansas vs. Kansas State odds for Monday’s tilt at Allen Fieldhouse. The over-under for total points is 133. Before locking in any Kansas vs. Kansas State picks of your own, check out the college basketball predictions from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, has raked in the winnings for those following its picks. Over the past two years, the SportsLine Projection Model has returned over $5,200 to $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks. It also entered Week 16 of the 2018-19 college basketball season on a blistering 16-8 run on top-rated college basketball side picks either against the spread or on the money line. Anyone who has followed it is way up. 

Now the model has dialed in on Kansas vs. Kansas State. We can tell you it is leaning over, and it also has an extremely strong against the spread pick that cashes in well over 70 percent of simulations. That one is only available at SportsLine.

The model has taken into account that Kansas has won three of its past four overall and will be extremely motivated on Monday to bounce back from a humiliating 29-point loss at Texas Tech over the weekend. The Jayhawks’ perimeter defense completely broke down in that matchup as the Red Raiders nailed 16 3-pointers. 

Recent history, however, suggests coach Bill Self will make quick adjustments and help Kansas get back on track for this rivalry matchup on its home floor. The Jayhawks have lost back-to-back games just one time all season and are undefeated at Allen Fieldhouse. Their ability to protect their own floor has helped Kansas overcome the hand injury to center Udoka Azubuike and remain in the Big 12 title hunt. 

But just because the Jayhawks have played well at home doesn’t mean they will cover the Kansas State vs. Kansas spread on Monday. 

The model also knows the Wildcats have already knocked off the Jayhawks once this season in a 74-67 final earlier this month. Four players scored in double-figures in that game for KSU, with Barry Brown Jr. leading the way with 18. The Wildcats nailed 41.7 percent of their 3-pointers in that matchup. Multiple trends in the KSU vs. Kansas matchup favor the Wildcats as well. Kansas State is 11-3 against the spread on the road this season and 5-1 as a road underdog. 

So who wins Kansas State vs. Kansas? And which side of the spread can you bank on in well over 70 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Kansas State vs. Kansas spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up more than $5,200 on its college basketball picks the past two years, and find out.