2019 MLB win totals, odds, predictions: Advanced computer model picks under 74.5 for White Sox
With 2019 MLB Spring Training games already off and running and league-wide MLB Opening Day scheduled for March 28, baseball season is officially upon us. In snowy Las Vegas, bookmakers have already released their 2019 MLB win totals, so you can pick whether you think each team goes over or under their posted number. Caesars Palace has given the Houston Astros the highest Over-Under for wins this season at 97.5, while the Baltimore Orioles have the lowest total assigned at a meager 59. Overall, there are five teams with win totals of 90 or more and 12 teams with totals in the 80s. The bottom line: there’s plenty of parity expected and an array of 2019 MLB win totals to choose from. Before you make any 2019 MLB picks on win totals, be sure to check out the full-season projections from the advanced computer model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulated the entire season 10,000 times and found five MLB teams whose Vegas win totals are way off. This same model crushed the 2018 NFL schedule and is beating the books in NBA and college basketball, so you’ll want to see what it has to say.
The model performed better than 98 percent of experts tracked by NFLPickWatch.com the past three years when it came to picking games straight up. Moreover, the model has returned more than $5,200 to $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks the past two years and is up more than $4,000 this season alone on top-rated NBA plays.
Now, it’s locked in on Vegas’ 2019 MLB win totals. We can tell you the model says the Chicago White Sox go Under their total of 74.5.
The model knows the White Sox have been focusing on their farm system the last two seasons, losing 95 games in 2017 and 100 last year. That’s allowed them to stockpile six of the top 100 prospects according to MLB Pipeline, which has many bettors assuming they’ll be on the upswing in 2019.
However, of the six young prospects that have the White Sox thinking their future is bright, only one (Eloy Jimenez) looks like a certainty to see serious playing time in the Major Leagues this season. The White Sox finished 12th in the American League in runs scored and 13th in runs allowed last season. Plus, they struck out 71 more times than anybody in baseball.
Even with younger players like Yoan Moncada and Tim Anderson expected to take steps forward in 2019 and the franchise making progress in general, the model projects the White Sox to fall well short of their Vegas win total. In fact, it projects them to win just 67.2 games this season. They’ve already lost out on the Manny Machado sweepstakes and reportedly won’t bid on Bryce Harper.
The model also generated huge disparities on four other teams, including the Kansas City Royals. They finished with 58 wins last season in a dismal season. Oddsmakers have set their season-win total at 69, and the projection model has a strong opinion on the 2019 fortunes for a Kansas City team that won the World Series four years ago.
So which teams sail past their projected win totals? And how many wins will every single MLB team have this season? Visit SportsLine now to get the five best season win total bets, plus see every team’s projected record, all from an advanced computer model that keeps crushing its picks, and find out.
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