Stocks slump after Trump threatens Mexico with tariffs
Stocks fell sharply on Friday after U.S. President Donald Trumpon imports from Mexico, magnifying concerns about the economic impact of U.S. trade disputes around the world. Automaker shares are among the hardest hit on fears the tariffs would raise costs for vehicles and parts imported from Mexico.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 309 points, or 1.2%, to 24,860 in early trading. The S&P 500 and tech-heavy Nasdaq also lost more than 1.2%. Ford Motor shares lost 3%, while General Motors shed 4% on fears the tariffs would eat into their profits and raise vehicle prices for consumers.
Mr. Trump on Thursday announced a new 5% tariff onaimed at pressuring Mexico to halt the flow of migrants into the U.S. The tariff, to be effective June 10, would increase each month if Trump is not satisfied by Mexico’s efforts on border security. Investors were rattled by the surprise announcement, fearing the tariffs could put at risk the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement, which hasn’t yet been ratified by Mexico.
“Trump’s tariff threat also looks set to derail the significant progress made on USCMA,” noted analyst Clayton Allen of Height Securities in a research note. “The new tariff threat likely halts any progress on Mexican ratification.”
The White House laid out an escalating schedule of tariff increases if Trump’s demands are not met: 10% on July 1, 15% on Aug. 1, 20% on Sept. 1 and 25% on Oct. 1.
China trade war
At the same time, the Trump administration is waging a trade war with China. Those trade concerns are likely to continue through late June, when U.S. and Chinese leaders will have an opportunity to meet at the G-20 summit in Japan.
“Watching this intensely, China has to be wondering whether the U.S. can be trusted to abide by its promises when the administration is rebuffing Mexico having recently forged the USMCA,” said Mark Hamrick, Bankrate.com’s senior economic analyst, in an emailed statement.
In early May, the U.S. and China concluded their 11th round of trade talks with no agreement. The U.S. then more than doubled duties on $200 billion in Chinese products, and China responded by raising its own tariffs.
Meanwhile, a report released Friday showed that China’s factory activity contracted in May amid its trade dispute with the U.S., which has seen higher tariffs on Chinese exports.
“This comes at a time when CEO’s and executives have to be looking at alternatives to the Chinese supply chain. Many thought Mexico would be an alternative, but now that looks in jeopardy,” Cliff Hodge, director of investments for Cornerstone Wealth, said in an email. “The risk is that these tariffs, along with those imposed on China pushes an already soft business cycle into a full-blown recession.”