2019 TicketGuardian 500 Vegas picks and NASCAR predictions: Fade Brad Keselowski, back Aric Almirola at Phoenix

The NASCAR Cup series heads to Phoenix for Sunday’s TicketGuardian 500, with the green flag dropping at 3:30 p.m. ET from ISM Speedway. It’s the first flat-track NASCAR race of the season with the new engine and aerodynamic package, but the favorite hasn’t changed. Kevin Harvick, who has a record nine Cups wins at Phoenix, is the 5-2 favorite in the latest 2019 TicketGuardian 500 odds. Kyle Busch is at 4-1 NASCAR at Phoenix odds, with Brad Keselowski at 7-1 and Joey Logano right behind him at 8-1. With so much uncertainty leading up to the showdown in Phoenix, you’ll want to see the top NASCAR predictions from Vegas bookmaker and handicapper Micah Roberts before making your own 2019 TicketGuardian 500 picks. He’s the legendary expert who pioneered wagering on NASCAR races.

Roberts went with Jimmie Johnson as a hefty 25-1 long shot at the season-opening Advance Auto Parts Clash. The result: Johnson survived a huge crash and went on to win the rain-shortened race as Roberts’ followers raked it in. At the Pennzoil 400 in Vegas last week, Roberts nailed a ridiculous seven of the top 10 finishers. He entered the 2019 NASCAR season after finishing big-time in the black in 2018. In fact, those who wagered $100 on each of his picks last year have $1,750 in profit to show for it. 

His biggest wins came when he went against the grain, taking Keselowski at 12-1 to win the South Point 400 at Las Vegas in the opening race of the NASCAR playoffs and going with Logano, also 12-1, to take the First Data 500 at Martinsville. He also nailed four of Harvick’s nine series victories and three of Busch’s nine wins. 

That continued an astonishing run in which Roberts picked nine of the 10 winners in the 2017 NASCAR playoffs. In 2016, he took Denny Hamlin to win the Daytona 500 at 15-1, and took him again at 40-1 at Watkins Glen later that year. Anyone who’s following his picks is up huge year after year. 

Now, he has analyzed Sunday’s 2019 TicketGuardian 500 lineup from every possible angle and locked in his 2019 NASCAR at Phoenix picks.

We can tell you he’s not going with Keselowski, one of the top Vegas favorites at 7-1 odds. Keselowski’s history on flat tracks isn’t spectacular, with just one top-five finish in five races in 2018 and no career Cup wins at Phoenix. With so many other legitimate contenders in this loaded 2019 TicketGuardian 500 field, Roberts says Keselowski doesn’t even crack the top 10. 

One shocker: Roberts is high on Aric Almirola, a long shot at 20-1 TicketGuardian 500 odds. Almirola finished seventh in this race last spring, and Roberts believes he can take a big step again on Sunday. 

“In the last three races on this type of flat track, he finished in the top five of each, including fourth place last fall at Phoenix,” Roberts told SportsLine. “Being teammates with Kevin Harvick certainly helped him have his best season ever at ISM.” 

Roberts is also high on three long shots with double-digit TicketGuardian 500 odds who will make a strong run at the title. His picks will shock many, but anyone who backs them could hit it with a massive payday, just as in the season opener. 

So which drivers are must-backs in the 2019 TicketGuardian 500? And which underdogs will shock NASCAR? Visit SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard from the nation’s premier NASCAR handicapper, and find out.

Categories: National Sports

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *